Immigration Crackdown Raises Concerns Over LA Economic Fallout

A federal immigration crackdown targeting undocumented workers is raising alarms across Los Angeles, where the local economy relies heavily on immigrant labor.

LA economy fallout due to immigration crackdown
A building is under construction in Los Angeles. The Korea Daily/Naki Park

On June 10, the LA Times reported that the Department of Homeland Securityโ€™s large-scale enforcement actions could severely disrupt industries such as construction, apparel manufacturing, and logisticsโ€”sectors densely populated by undocumented and foreign-born workers.

According to the report, industries including construction, hospitality, healthcare, and agriculture would not function without foreign labor. Nicholas Eberstadt, a political economist at the National Bureau of Economic Research, noted, โ€œThe U.S. economy is increasingly dependent on foreign-born workers, and this is especially true in California. Nationally, one in five workers is foreign-born, but in California, it’s one in three.โ€

While Californiaโ€™s population declined early in the pandemic, it grew by over 230,000 people between July 2023 and July 2024โ€”a trend driven primarily by more than 360,000 international immigrants, reflecting the state’s dependence on migration for economic recovery.

U.S. Census Bureau data from 2022 showed that one-third of restaurant and warehouse workers, 40% of care workers, half of truck and hospitality employees, and 60% of landscaping and cleaning service workers are foreign-born.

The construction sector is expected to feel the impact first. Dean Baker, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, warned, โ€œIf raids continue, day laborers will disappear from job sites, and small construction firms will struggle to hire, forcing them to delay or cancel projects.โ€

The garment industry may also suffer. In the LA Fashion District, where the June 6 raid took place at Ambiance, a Korean American-owned clothing distributor, roughly 15,000 workers were employed as of 2023. Industry sources noted that many sewing factories rely on immigrant labor, including undocumented workers. โ€œIf the crackdown continues, businesses could collapse one after another,โ€ one insider said.

Experts added that the issue is worsened by an aging domestic workforce and growing aversion to manual labor among U.S.-born workers.

Tourism may also be affected. International and domestic travelers could avoid visiting cities seen as hostile to immigrants. Moreover, LAโ€™s global appealโ€”rooted in its diversity of cultures, cuisines, and communitiesโ€”could be undermined, damaging its reputation and tourism revenue.

A study by Boston University economist Tarek Hassan found that mass deportation policies could also lead to lower wages. His recent paper projected that if all undocumented immigrants were removed, Californiaโ€™s average annual wage could drop by $970 over five years.

โ€œAn economy grows when it has more productive people,โ€ said Hassan. โ€œImmigration is a driver of growth. The idea that immigrants steal jobs from Americans is simply incorrect.โ€

BY HOONSIK WOO [woo.hoonsik@koreadaily.com]